SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
37.99% ( 0.87) | 22.89% ( 0.09) | 39.13% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 65.82% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.76% ( -0.4) | 35.24% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.74% ( -0.44) | 57.26% ( 0.44) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.87% ( 0.23) | 19.13% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.23% ( 0.38) | 50.77% ( -0.37) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( -0.59) | 18.62% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.09% ( -0.99) | 49.92% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.5% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.68% Total : 39.13% |
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