Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.05) 
