Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	Schalke 04
46.87% ( 0.02)	22.2% ( -0)	30.92% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 66.22% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.16% (

-0.01)

33.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.32% (

-0.01)

55.68% (

0.01)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99%

15.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53%

43.47% (

-0)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.91% (

-0.02)

22.08% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.56% (

-0.03)

55.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 46.87%

Schalke 04 30.92%

Draw 22.2%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 46.87%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 30.92%