2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result |
| Holstein Kiel | Draw | St Pauli |
30.12% ( 0) | 22.2% ( -0) | 47.68% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 65.76% ( 0.03) |
| 65.75% ( 0.03) | 34.25% ( -0.03) |
| 43.85% ( 0.03) | 56.15% ( -0.03) |
| 77.25% ( 0.02) | 22.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0.02) | 56.43% ( -0.03) |
| 85.12% ( 0.01) | 14.88% ( -0.01) |
