SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Houston Dynamo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New England Revolution |
64.51% ( 0.07) | 19.03% ( 0.01) | 16.45% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.49% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.48% ( -0.18) | 35.52% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.43% ( -0.2) | 57.56% ( 0.2) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.6% ( -0.03) | 10.4% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.06% ( -0.07) | 33.93% ( 0.07) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.2) | 34.72% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.21) | 71.45% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)5-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 64.51% | 1-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.03% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 16.45% |
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