SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Austin FC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.42%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Austin FC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
34.72% ( 1.3) | 23.85% ( 0.29) | 41.43% ( -1.6) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% ( -1.06) | 40.5% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% ( -1.1) | 62.88% ( 1.1) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.86% ( 0.23) | 23.13% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43% ( 0.33) | 57% ( -0.33) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.18% ( -1.13) | 19.82% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.1% ( -1.87) | 51.9% ( 1.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.85% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.18)2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.12% Total : 41.43% |
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