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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | St Louis City |
57.06% ( -0.24) | 21.5% ( 0.06) | 21.45% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.89% ( -0.04) | 39.11% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.56% ( -0.04) | 61.44% ( 0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.44% ( -0.09) | 13.56% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.35% ( -0.17) | 40.64% ( 0.17) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.14) | 31.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( 0.16) | 68.14% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.49% Total : 57.06% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.5% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 21.45% |
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