SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
50.32% ( -0.02) | 23.86% ( 0.01) | 25.82% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.29% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.05) | 45.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.04) | 67.54% ( 0.04) |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.03) | 18.02% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% ( -0.04) | 48.9% ( 0.04) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( -0.02) | 31.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -0.02) | 67.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.52% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.82% |
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