SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
50.09% ( 0.05) | 23.46% ( 0.03) | 26.45% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.23% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.17) | 42.91% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.69% ( -0.17) | 65.31% ( 0.17) |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( -0.05) | 17.24% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.45% ( -0.08) | 47.55% ( 0.09) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.14) | 29.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.18) | 65.68% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.22% Total : 26.45% |
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