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Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
VW

Houston
1 - 1
Vancouver

Ponce (45+7' pen.)
Sviatchenko (38'), Micael (57'), Bassi (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
White (73')
Vite (26'), Takaoka (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 4-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Houston Dynamo 2-1 Vancouver Whitecaps

With just one point separating Houston Dynamo and Vancouver Whitecaps, we expect both sides to go all out at the Shell Energy Stadium as they look to secure a potentially huge result in their playoff qualifying quest. Buoyed by their stunning display against Real Salt Lake, we fancy Houston Dynamo to secure all three points on home turf, where they have lost just one league game since the start of May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 24.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Vancouver Whitecaps win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
51.23% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.59% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (0.0049999999999955 0)67.92% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44% (0.0040000000000049 0)48.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29%68.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 51.23%
    Vancouver Whitecaps 24.99%
    Draw 23.78%
Houston DynamoDrawVancouver Whitecaps
1-0 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.67%
2-0 @ 8.54%
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.23%
1-1 @ 11.21%
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35%
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Houston 4-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 0-2 Houston
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Houston 0-1 Toronto
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Toluca 2-2 Houston (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, August 10 at 1.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Vancouver 2-0 Earthquakes
Sunday, September 15 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-0 Dallas
Sunday, September 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 0-1 Vancouver
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Vancouver 0-2 Pumas
Thursday, August 8 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Vancouver 3-1 Tijuana
Sunday, August 4 at 3am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Los Angeles 2-2 Vancouver (0-0 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup


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