SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 22.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
56.48% ( -0.08) | 21.38% ( 0.04) | 22.14% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.49% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.11) | 37.66% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.11% ( -0.12) | 59.89% ( 0.13) |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0.06) | 13.25% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.97% ( -0.13) | 40.03% ( 0.13) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( -0.02) | 30.27% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.56% ( -0.03) | 66.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Houston Dynamo | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 22.14% |
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