SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Hungary had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Hungary win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungary | Draw | Netherlands |
25.37% ( 0.05) | 24.17% ( -0.03) | 50.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.83% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( 0.16) | 46.92% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( 0.15) | 69.17% ( -0.15) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( 0.12) | 32.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.83% ( 0.14) | 69.16% ( -0.14) |
| Netherlands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.05) | 18.62% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( 0.09) | 49.92% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungary | Draw | Netherlands |
| 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.37% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 10.21% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.46% |
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