SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Instituto win it was 0-1 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Huracan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Huracan.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Instituto |
49.88% ( -0.13) | 28.39% ( 0.07) | 21.72% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 39.57% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.08% ( -0.17) | 64.91% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.17% ( -0.12) | 83.83% ( 0.12) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( -0.14) | 26.46% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( -0.19) | 61.64% ( 0.19) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.81% ( -0.04) | 46.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.13% ( -0.03) | 81.87% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Instituto |
| 1-0 @ 16.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 49.88% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.39% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.72% |
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