SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 34.81%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.96%) and 1-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (14.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Huracan |
33.22% ( -0.08) | 31.97% ( 0.12) | 34.81% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 37.25% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0.33) | 70.76% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.28% ( -0.21) | 87.72% ( 0.2) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( -0.26) | 39.54% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.77% ( -0.23) | 76.23% ( 0.23) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -0.22) | 38.38% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.86% ( -0.21) | 75.13% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Huracan |
| 1-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.47% Total : 33.22% | 0-0 @ 15.17% ( 0.18) 1-1 @ 13.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.96% | 0-1 @ 14.53% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.96% ( 0)1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.63% Total : 34.81% |
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