SM
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (12.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Wales |
33.59% ( 0.05) | 29.48% ( 0.05) | 36.93% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.45% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.15) | 63.49% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.17% ( -0.11) | 82.82% ( 0.1) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( -0.04) | 35.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( -0.04) | 71.95% ( 0.04) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( -0.14) | 32.95% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.47% ( -0.16) | 69.53% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 33.59% | 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.47% | 0-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.93% |
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