SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Hammarby had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Hammarby win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
38.23% ( 0.01) | 25.22% ( -0.05) | 36.54% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.21) | 46.71% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.02% ( 0.2) | 68.98% ( -0.2) |
| IFK Norrkoping Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.91% ( 0.1) | 24.09% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.62% ( 0.14) | 58.37% ( -0.14) |
| Hammarby Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( 0.12) | 25% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.34% ( 0.17) | 59.66% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Norrkoping | Draw | Hammarby |
| 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.54% |
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