SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for KTP had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest KTP win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | KTP |
40.04% ( -0.48) | 24.47% ( 0.11) | 35.5% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.72% ( -0.44) | 43.28% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.32% ( -0.44) | 65.68% ( 0.44) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.42) | 21.65% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.21% ( -0.65) | 54.78% ( 0.65) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.01) | 23.99% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.01) | 58.24% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | KTP |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.04% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.5% |
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