SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
39.9% ( -0.09) | 24.75% ( 0.03) | 35.35% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( -0.13) | 44.64% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0.12) | 67% ( 0.13) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( -0.1) | 22.31% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.22% ( -0.15) | 55.78% ( 0.15) |
| Oulu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.03) | 24.71% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( -0.04) | 59.25% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Oulu |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 39.9% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.35% |
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