SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (11.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Lanus |
36.48% ( 0.11) | 29.06% ( 0.13) | 34.46% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% ( -0.46) | 62.06% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( -0.34) | 81.78% ( 0.34) |
| Independiente Medellin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.16) | 32.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.98% ( -0.18) | 69.02% ( 0.18) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.17% ( -0.4) | 33.82% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.51% ( -0.44) | 70.49% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.06% | 0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.46% |
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