SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Indonesia win it was 1-0 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Indonesia | Draw | Australia |
17.24% ( -6.82) | 20.99% ( -3.79) | 61.76% ( 10.61) |
| Both teams to score 53.23% ( 1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.77% ( 7.4) | 43.22% ( -7.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.37% ( 6.91) | 65.62% ( -6.91) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.51% ( -2.75) | 38.49% ( 2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.76% ( -2.72) | 75.24% ( 2.72) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( 6.32) | 13.46% ( -6.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.53% ( 11.38) | 40.46% ( -11.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Indonesia | Draw | Australia |
| 1-0 @ 4.95% ( -2.33) 2-1 @ 4.74% ( -1.33)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -1.38)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.57)Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -1.86) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -1.89)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.99% | 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 1.13) 0-1 @ 10.39% ( -1.06)1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.4)0-3 @ 6.96% ( 1.95)1-3 @ 6.65% ( 1.49)0-4 @ 3.49% ( 1.46)1-4 @ 3.33% ( 1.24)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.52)2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.52)0-5 @ 1.4% ( 0.74)1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.66)Other @ 3.07% Total : 61.75% |
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