SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Australia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Uzbekistan | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Syria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | India | 3 | -6 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Bahrain had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Bahrain win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | Bahrain |
44.35% ( 0.17) | 26.19% ( -0.3) | 29.46% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.32% ( 1.23) | 52.68% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( 1.05) | 74.32% ( -1.04) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( 0.62) | 23.64% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( 0.89) | 57.74% ( -0.89) |
| Bahrain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( 0.74) | 32.48% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( 0.83) | 69.01% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia | Draw | Bahrain |
| 1-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.79% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 29.46% |
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