SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Indonesia had a probability of 18.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Indonesia win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Indonesia |
59.26% ( 1.83) | 22.35% ( -0.43) | 18.4% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.06% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.77% ( -0.17) | 47.23% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.16) | 69.46% ( 0.16) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( 0.56) | 15.57% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.47% ( 1.03) | 44.53% ( -1.03) |
| Indonesia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% ( -1.64) | 39.52% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% ( -1.56) | 76.21% ( 1.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Indonesia |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.48)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.29% Total : 59.25% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.23)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.4% |
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