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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
PL

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Parma

Dimarco (40'), Barella (53'), Thuram (66')
Dimarco (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Darmian (81' og.)
Keita (10')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Parma

Victory should be a formality for Inter, as they are imperious at San Siro and Parma do not tend to travel well. The visitors have kept just one clean sheet all season, while their illustrious hosts are averaging almost two-and-a-half goals per game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.19%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Parma had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.46%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawParma
70.19% (0.073999999999998 0.07) 17.85% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 11.96% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.18% (0.149 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.73% (0.221 0.22)40.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.35% (0.226 0.23)62.65% (-0.227 -0.23)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.7% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.3% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.29% (0.17699999999999 0.18)33.71% (-0.177 -0.18)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.94% (0.118 0.12)44.06% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.094999999999999 0.09)80.17% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 70.18%
    Parma 11.96%
    Draw 17.85%
Inter MilanDrawParma
2-0 @ 11.72% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.28% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.05% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.88% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.34%
Total : 70.18%
1-1 @ 8.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 17.85%
0-1 @ 3.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 11.96%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, December 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, November 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-2 Parma
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Parma
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30am in Serie A


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