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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
IL

Empoli
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Cacace (38')
Goglichidze (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Frattesi (50', 67'), Martinez (79')
Bastoni (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-4 Juventus
Sunday, October 27 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 0-2 Inter Milan

Despite several impressive results on the road, Empoli have yet to win a Serie A home game this season, failing to even score in four attempts so far. Ending that run against Inter will surely be beyond the Tuscan outfit, as the Italian champions have a point to prove after letting a big victory slip from their grasp at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 68.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
11.77% (-0.286 -0.29) 19.44% (-0.279 -0.28) 68.79% (0.56400000000001 0.56)
Both teams to score 44.28% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (0.472 0.47)47.82% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (0.434 0.43)70.01% (-0.43599999999999 -0.44)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.79% (-0.201 -0.2)49.2% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.9% (-0.143 -0.14)84.1% (0.14 0.14)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.18% (0.307 0.31)12.82% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.85% (0.626 0.63)39.15% (-0.628 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 11.77%
    Inter Milan 68.77%
    Draw 19.44%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.47% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 3.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 1.59% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 11.77%
1-1 @ 9.19% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.31% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 19.44%
0-2 @ 13.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 12.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.44% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 9.11% (0.137 0.14)
1-3 @ 6.46% (0.061 0.06)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.124 0.12)
1-4 @ 3.32% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.36% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 68.77%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Napoli
Sunday, October 20 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, September 29 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-2 Empoli
Tuesday, September 24 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Empoli
Friday, September 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-4 Juventus
Sunday, October 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-2 Torino
Saturday, October 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Red Star
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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