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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
PL

Venezia
1 - 2
Parma

Nicolussi (5')
Andersen (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Valeri (17'), Bonny (68')
Cancellieri (50'), Charpentier (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 2-2 Parma

Though Parma are more potent than their hosts up front, they have consistently paid for some costly slip-ups, losing seven points from leading positions away from home. For all their flaws, Venezia are yet to drop points from in front at Stadio Penzo, and they should at least secure a home draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Parma had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
VeneziaDrawParma
44.25% (-0.131 -0.13) 24.95% (0.029000000000003 0.03) 30.8% (0.099 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.12% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.88% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.13% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)21.22% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.88% (-0.144 -0.14)54.12% (0.141 0.14)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.024000000000001 0.02)28.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (0.030999999999999 0.03)64.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 44.25%
    Parma 30.8%
    Draw 24.95%
VeneziaDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.37% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 30.8%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Udinese
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-1 Venezia
Friday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-1 Venezia
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Parma
Wednesday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-1 Parma
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Parma
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-3 Cagliari
Monday, September 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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