SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
53.45% ( -0.31) | 23.74% ( 0.06) | 22.8% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 53.32% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% ( 0.02) | 47.55% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 0.01) | 69.76% ( -0.01) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( -0.11) | 17.72% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.61% ( -0.19) | 48.38% ( 0.19) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% ( 0.24) | 35.2% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.05% ( 0.25) | 71.95% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 53.45% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 22.8% |
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