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Champions League | League Stage
Nov 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
LL

Inter Milan
1 - 0
RB Leipzig

Lukeba (27' og.)
Pavard (11'), Bastoni (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baumgartner (34'), Rose (70'), Lukeba (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Inter Milan 2-1 RB Leipzig

Even a steadfast Inter defence may be unable to keep Leipzig at bay for 90 minutes, given the visitors' abundance of pace and finishing prowess. Still, the Nerazzurri have more than enough nous to collect another three points, as they can also be ruthless in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRB Leipzig
52.57% (0.251 0.25) 22.85% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 24.57% (-0.182 -0.18)
Both teams to score 58.41% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.159 0.16)41.8% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.16 0.16)64.2% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.06% (0.14399999999999 0.14)15.94% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.79% (0.266 0.27)45.21% (-0.268 -0.27)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.48% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)30.51% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.26% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)66.73% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.57%
    RB Leipzig 24.57%
    Draw 22.85%
Inter MilanDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 52.57%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 24.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hellas Verona 0-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 23 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-1 Napoli
Sunday, November 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-4 Juventus
Sunday, October 27 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Celtic 3-1 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-2 St Pauli
Tuesday, October 29 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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