Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.57%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | RB Leipzig |
52.57% ( 0.25) | 22.85% ( -0.07) | 24.57% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 58.41% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( 0.16) | 41.8% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( 0.16) | 64.2% ( -0.16) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.06% ( 0.14) | 15.94% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.79% ( 0.27) | 45.21% ( -0.27) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.48% ( -0.06) | 30.51% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.26% ( -0.07) | 66.73% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.57% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 24.57% |
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