SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 34.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
38.85% ( -1.17) | 26.73% ( 0.44) | 34.42% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 51.62% ( -1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( -1.68) | 53.4% ( 1.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( -1.44) | 74.94% ( 1.44) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -1.41) | 26.82% ( 1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.88% ( -1.9) | 62.12% ( 1.9) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.54% ( -0.36) | 29.46% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.54% ( -0.44) | 65.46% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.21)2-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.51)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.42% |
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