SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iran | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | United Arab Emirates | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Palestine | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Hong Kong | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iran win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Japan had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iran win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Japan win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iran | Draw | Japan |
45.97% ( -1.8) | 26.47% ( 0.91) | 27.56% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( -2.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.28% ( -2.99) | 54.72% ( 2.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.96% ( -2.54) | 76.04% ( 2.54) |
| Iran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% ( -2.09) | 23.75% ( 2.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.1% ( -3.1) | 57.89% ( 3.1) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( -0.88) | 35.01% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.24% ( -0.93) | 71.76% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iran | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.65) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.28)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.92)2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.78) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.56% |
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