SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Iraq | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Vietnam | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 | Indonesia | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Iraq win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Japan |
34.84% ( -1.86) | 24.12% ( 0.21) | 41.04% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 60.68% ( -1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.24% ( -1.3) | 41.76% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.84% ( -1.33) | 64.16% ( 1.33) |
| Iraq Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -1.58) | 23.65% ( 1.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( -2.34) | 57.75% ( 2.34) |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.47% ( 0.21) | 20.52% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.97% ( 0.33) | 53.03% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iraq | Draw | Japan |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.22)3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.84% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.14)0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.42)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.24)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.88% Total : 41.04% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
