Istanbul Basaksehir will know they must make the most of home advantage in this two-legged tie, and with slightly more quality in their ranks than the visitors, we back them to take an aggregate lead on Thursday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
0.25) 
-0.59) 
