SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Belgium | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Israel | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 62.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Belgium had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Belgium win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Belgium |
62.81% ( 2.71) | 21.65% ( -0.85) | 15.54% ( -1.86) |
| Both teams to score 47.46% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% ( 0.34) | 49.03% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% ( 0.31) | 71.11% ( -0.31) |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.98% ( 1) | 15.02% ( -1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.51% ( 1.87) | 43.49% ( -1.87) |
| Belgium Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.85% ( -2.19) | 44.15% ( 2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.75% ( -1.85) | 80.24% ( 1.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | Belgium |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.64)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.65)3-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.42)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.24% Total : 62.8% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.44)0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.47% Total : 15.54% |
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