Africa Cup of Nations | Semi-Finals

Feb 7, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Ivory Coast
1 - 0
Congo DR

Haller (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ivory Coast and Congo DR, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Mali 1-2 Ivory Coast
Saturday, February 3 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Congo DR

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Congo DR 3-1 Guinea
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

We said: Ivory Coast 2-1 Congo DR

While Desabre's side could fancy their prospects against the host nation, the Elephants have momentum and the backing of the home support. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Congo DR had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.91%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Congo DR win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ivory Coast in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ivory Coast.

Result
Ivory Coast	Draw	Congo DR
54.75%	26.57%	18.68%

Both teams to score 40.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.82%

62.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.13%

81.86%

Ivory Coast Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99%

23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19%

56.81%

Congo DR Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.01%

47.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.78%

83.22%

Score Analysis

Ivory Coast 54.74%

Congo DR 18.68%

Draw 26.57%

Ivory Coast	Draw	Congo DR
1-0 @ 16.22% 2-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 4.29% 4-0 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.43% Total : 54.74%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 3.21% Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.11% 1-2 @ 4.37% 0-2 @ 2.98% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.68%