SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 23.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Jamaica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Jamaica.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | Dominican Republic |
52.11% ( 0.08) | 24.52% ( -0) | 23.37% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0.05) | 50.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( -0.05) | 72.15% ( 0.05) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( 0.01) | 19.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( 0.02) | 50.94% ( -0.02) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( -0.1) | 36.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( -0.1) | 72.92% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jamaica | Draw | Dominican Republic |
| 1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0)2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.37% |
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