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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 4.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Japan Women | Draw | Nigeria Women |
87.32% ( 7) | 8.68% ( -4.05) | 4.01% ( -2.94) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( -2.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.86% ( 7.61) | 24.13% ( -7.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.22% ( 9.49) | 43.78% ( -9.48) |
| Japan Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.42% ( 2.53) | 3.58% ( -2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.51% ( 7.67) | 15.49% ( -7.66) |
| Nigeria Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.63% ( -3.74) | 52.37% ( 3.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.76% ( -2.56) | 86.24% ( 2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Japan Women | Draw | Nigeria Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -1.21)4-0 @ 9.61% ( 2.04)3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 6.72% ( -1.64)5-0 @ 6.4% ( 2.17)1-0 @ 6.24% ( -2.05)4-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.76)5-1 @ 4.14% ( 1.09)6-0 @ 3.55% ( 1.58)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.4)6-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.88)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)7-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.9)5-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.24)7-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.53)Other @ 4.22% Total : 87.31% | 1-1 @ 4.04% ( -1.95) 2-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.84)0-0 @ 1.87% ( -1.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 8.68% | 1-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.85) 0-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.93)Other @ 1.49% Total : 4.01% |
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