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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 31, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
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Japan Women
3 - 1
Nigeria Women

Hamano (22'), Tanaka (32'), Kitagawa (45+5')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Echegini (42')
Demehin (45+4')
Coverage of the Olympic Games Women's Football Group Stage clash between Japan Women and Nigeria Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Brazil Women 1-2 Japan Women
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
All competitions
Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Spain Women 1-0 Nigeria Women
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Nigeria Women had a probability of 4.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 4-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.04%), while for a Nigeria Women win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Women would win this match.

Result
Japan WomenDrawNigeria Women
87.32% (6.999 7) 8.68% (-4.051 -4.05) 4.01% (-2.942 -2.94)
Both teams to score 45.93% (-2.314 -2.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.86% (7.611 7.61)24.13% (-7.606 -7.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.22% (9.488 9.49)43.78% (-9.482 -9.48)
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.42% (2.527 2.53)3.58% (-2.521 -2.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.51% (7.668 7.67)15.49% (-7.663 -7.66)
Nigeria Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.63% (-3.743 -3.74)52.37% (3.749 3.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.76% (-2.558 -2.56)86.24% (2.564 2.56)
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 87.31%
    Nigeria Women 4.01%
    Draw 8.68%
Japan WomenDrawNigeria Women
3-0 @ 11.53% (0.72 0.72)
2-0 @ 10.38% (-1.21 -1.21)
4-0 @ 9.61% (2.042 2.04)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-1.644 -1.64)
5-0 @ 6.4% (2.167 2.17)
1-0 @ 6.24% (-2.054 -2.05)
4-1 @ 6.21% (0.759 0.76)
5-1 @ 4.14% (1.088 1.09)
6-0 @ 3.55% (1.58 1.58)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.399 -0.4)
6-1 @ 2.3% (0.875 0.88)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.043 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.69% (0.902 0.9)
5-2 @ 1.34% (0.238 0.24)
7-1 @ 1.09% (0.525 0.53)
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 87.31%
1-1 @ 4.04% (-1.945 -1.95)
2-2 @ 2.17% (-0.842 -0.84)
0-0 @ 1.87% (-1.092 -1.09)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 8.68%
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.851 -0.85)
0-1 @ 1.21% (-0.926 -0.93)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 4.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brazil Women 1-2 Japan Women
Sunday, July 28 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Spain Women 2-1 Japan Women
Thursday, July 25 at 4pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Japan Women 1-1 Brazil Women (0-1 pen.)
Tuesday, April 9 at 9pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: USA Women 2-1 Japan Women
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in SheBelieves Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 1-2 Sweden Women
Friday, August 11 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Japan Women 3-1 Norway Women
Saturday, August 5 at 9am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Spain Women 1-0 Nigeria Women
Sunday, July 28 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-1 Brazil Women
Thursday, July 25 at 6pm in Olympic Games Women's Football
Last Game: England Women 0-0 Nigeria Women (4-2 pen.)
Monday, August 7 at 8.30am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Ireland Women 0-0 Nigeria Women
Monday, July 31 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Australia Women 2-3 Nigeria Women
Thursday, July 27 at 11am in Women's World Cup
Last Game: Nigeria Women 0-0 Canada Women
Friday, July 21 at 3.30am in Women's World Cup


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