SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 2-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
22.14% ( -0.23) | 22.24% ( -0.08) | 55.62% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.32% ( 0.09) | 41.68% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.09) | 64.08% ( -0.09) |
| Jong FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( -0.16) | 32.53% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( -0.18) | 69.06% ( 0.17) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( 0.13) | 14.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.78% ( 0.25) | 43.21% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong FC Utrecht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.45% Total : 22.14% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.79% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 55.62% |
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