Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
