SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 47.97%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Cambuur |
29.1% ( 1.66) | 22.93% ( 1.56) | 47.97% ( -3.22) |
| Both teams to score 62.33% ( -4.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( -6.42) | 38.45% ( 6.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( -7.13) | 60.74% ( 7.13) |
| MVV Maastricht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( -2.22) | 25.48% ( 2.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.67% ( -3.13) | 60.32% ( 3.12) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.64% ( -3.41) | 16.35% ( 3.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.03% ( -6.55) | 45.96% ( 6.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| MVV Maastricht | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.51) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 1.3)2-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.69)3-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.34)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.1% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 1.33) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.31)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 1.15)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.46)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 1.39)0-2 @ 6.83% ( 0.54)1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.62)0-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.71)1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.65)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.33)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.59)1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.38)Other @ 3.55% Total : 47.97% |
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