SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Jubilo Iwata had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
28.27% ( -0.01) | 25.18% ( -0) | 46.54% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( 0.01) | 49.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( 0.01) | 71.23% ( -0.01) |
| Jubilo Iwata Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( -0) | 31.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.07% | 67.92% ( -0) |
| Gamba Osaka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.85% ( 0.01) | 21.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46% ( 0.01) | 54% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
| 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.66% 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.27% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.54% |
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