Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.02) 
