Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 46.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
