SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Bragantino |
60.04% ( 0.01) | 22.57% ( -0) | 17.39% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.32% ( 0) | 49.68% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% ( 0) | 71.7% ( -0) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.85% ( 0) | 16.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.4% ( 0.01) | 45.6% ( -0.01) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( -0.01) | 42.15% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.43% ( -0) | 78.57% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 6.88% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 60.03% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.57% | 0-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.33% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.39% |
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