SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 51.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
51.35% ( 0.32) | 26.49% ( -0.03) | 22.16% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.4% ( -0.14) | 58.6% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.84% ( -0.11) | 79.16% ( 0.12) |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.08) | 22.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 0.12) | 56.75% ( -0.11) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -0.38) | 42.04% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( -0.33) | 78.47% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Bologna |
| 1-0 @ 14.2% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.34% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.12% Total : 22.16% |
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