As Bologna have begun to find the net more often - after starting the season with a series of low-scoring draws - they should see off the mild threat of Monza on home turf.
While the visitors will be more concerned with their quest to stay afloat in Serie A, the hosts have genuine ambitions of claiming the Coppa Italia.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
0.38) 
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