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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
BL

Roma
2 - 3
Bologna

El Shaarawy (63', 82')
Mancini (87'), El Shaarawy (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castro (25'), Orsolini (66'), Karlsson (77')
De Silvestri (45'), Miranda (68'), Karlsson (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Roma
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monaco
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Roma 0-0 Bologna

Both averaging just over one goal per game, two teams searching for rhythm could play out a gritty stalemate at the Olimpico, further frustrating the home fans. Roma still seem far from united, while Bologna often fail to convert enough chances to turn one point into three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
46.42% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03) 26.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 27.07% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.07% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.83% (0.063000000000002 0.06)55.17% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.41% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.74% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.34% (0.067999999999998 0.07)35.66% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.57% (0.07 0.07)72.43% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 46.42%
    Bologna 27.07%
    Draw 26.51%
RomaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 12.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 46.42%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.47% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.07%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Union SG 1-1 Roma
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hellas Verona 3-2 Roma
Sunday, November 3 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Torino
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Roma
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 0-1 Inter Milan
Sunday, October 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monaco
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Bologna
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Genoa 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, October 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Parma
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie A


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