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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
V

Bologna
3 - 0
Venezia

Ndoye (21' pen., 71'), Orsolini (69' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sverko (26'), Busio (29'), Di Francesco (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Lille
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Lecce
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bologna 1-0 Venezia

Both in the bottom half of the rankings for attacking output, these low-scoring sides may ultimately be separated by a single goal. Given Venezia's frailties at the back, Bologna should end November on a high, securing three welcome points in front of their fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawVenezia
56.67% (0.194 0.19) 23.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 19.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 48.86% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (-0.195 -0.2)51.21% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (-0.172 -0.17)73.05% (0.17 0.17)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.67%
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.5% (-0.315 -0.31)40.5% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (-0.287 -0.29)77.1% (0.285 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Bologna 56.66%
    Venezia 19.6%
    Draw 23.72%
BolognaDrawVenezia
1-0 @ 12.46% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 56.66%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (0.056 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.72%
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bologna 1-2 Lille
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lazio 3-0 Bologna
Sunday, November 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-3 Bologna
Sunday, November 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monaco
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, November 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Bologna
Tuesday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-1 Lecce
Monday, November 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 1-2 Parma
Saturday, November 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Venezia
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Udinese
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-2 Venezia
Sunday, October 27 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Venezia 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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