SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
30.48% ( 0.22) | 23.68% ( 0.06) | 45.84% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 60.51% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.77% ( -0.16) | 41.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.38% ( -0.16) | 63.62% ( 0.16) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.06) | 25.98% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( 0.09) | 60.99% ( -0.09) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.17) | 18.24% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.71% ( -0.3) | 49.28% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 45.84% |
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