Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sirius win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Kalmar	Draw	Sirius
43.85% ( -0.01)	25.9% ( 0.16)	30.25% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.89% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.85% (

-0.71)

51.14% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.01% (

-0.63)

72.99% (

0.62)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78% (

-0.31)

23.22% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.88% (

-0.46)

57.12% (

0.45)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.89% (

-0.47)

31.11% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

-0.55)

67.44% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Kalmar 43.85%

Sirius 30.25%

Draw 25.89%

Kalmar	Draw	Sirius
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.85%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.89%	0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.25%