SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
39.15% ( 0.13) | 26.29% ( -0.03) | 34.56% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.44% ( 0.09) | 51.56% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( 0.08) | 73.35% ( -0.09) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.11) | 25.8% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( 0.15) | 60.76% ( -0.15) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0.02) | 28.47% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( -0.02) | 64.23% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.56% |
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